Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Group 4 - 5
Ciudad de Lucena1–0Puente Genil
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil: match review and analysis
Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Ciudad de Lucena recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 8. Puente Genil recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 10 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ciudad de Lucena | Puente Genil |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ciudad de Lucena: (1.95 weighted goals scored + 1.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Puente Genil: (0.94 weighted goals scored + 0.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ciudad de Lucena recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AntonianoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Tenerife IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Mijas Las LagunasSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Linares DeportivoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dos HermanasTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Cádiz IITercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| TomaresTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| BollullosTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sevilla IIITercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| LinenseTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ciudad de Lucena’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Puente Genil recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarbellaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EsteponaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Recreativo HuelvaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Mijas Las LagunasSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| La Unión AtléticoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Málaga IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Real JaénSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Deportiva MineraSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| XerezSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| YeclanoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Puente Genil’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ciudad de Lucena are ranked 5 in Group 4, with 8 points from 5 games.
Puente Genil are ranked 15 in Group 4, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Betis II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Recreativo Huelva | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Tenerife II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Ciudad de Lucena | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Sevilla Atletico | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Badajoz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Estepona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Linares Deportivo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sanluqueño | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Atlético Central | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Xerez | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Marbella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Puente Genil | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Las Palmas II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Tamaraceite | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Antoniano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.