Segunda División · Regular Season - 25
Bolívar2–1Monagas II
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Bolívar vs Monagas II: match review and analysis
Bolívar vs Monagas II in Segunda División on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Bolívar recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 21. Monagas II recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 20 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bolívar | Monagas II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 21 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bolívar: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 1.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Monagas II: (1.99 weighted goals scored + 2.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bolívar recent form
1.40 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo de Puerto La CruzSegunda División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Aragua FCSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mineros de GuyanaSegunda División | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Monagas SCCopa Venezuela | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Petare FCSegunda División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Atletico Avila FCSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Monagas SCCopa Venezuela | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Dinamo de Puerto La CruzCopa Venezuela | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Monagas IISegunda División | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Dinamo de Puerto La CruzSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Bolívar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Monagas II recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineros de GuyanaSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo de Puerto La CruzSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Aragua FCSegunda División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Petare FCSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atletico Avila FCSegunda División | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| BolívarSegunda División | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Mineros de GuyanaSegunda División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo de Puerto La CruzSegunda División | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Aragua FCSegunda División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Petare FCSegunda División | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Monagas II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Lara | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 63 |
| 2 | Fundación Lara Deportiva | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Yaracuyanos FC | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Urena SC | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 46 |
| 5 | Zamora FC B | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 40 |
| 6 | Atletico el Vigia FC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 40 |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello II | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 34 |
| 8 | Club Atletico Barinas | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 32 |
| 9 | Real Frontera | 29 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 12 |
Monagas II are ranked 1 in Segunda División, with 39 points from 22 games.
Bolívar are ranked 3 in Segunda División, with 37 points from 24 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas II | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 39 |
| 2 | Petare FC | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | Bolívar | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | Aragua FC | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
| 6 | Mineros de Guyana | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 21 |
| 7 | Marítimo | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Atletico Avila FC | 23 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 13 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.