CONCACAF Nations League · League C - 3
Bahamas2–3US Virgin Islands
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- CONCACAF Nations League
- Venue
- Bethlehem Soccer Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–3
- 90-minute score
- 2–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands: match review and analysis
Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands in CONCACAF Nations League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Bahamas recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 44. US Virgin Islands recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 13 scored and 26 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bahamas | US Virgin Islands |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 44 | 26 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bahamas: (0.66 weighted goals scored + 2.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
US Virgin Islands: (1.32 weighted goals scored + 4.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bahamas recent form
0.80 goals scored and 4.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Virgin IslandsCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Saint MartinCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 0–8 | Lost | |
| Cayman IslandsCONCACAF Series | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AnguillaCONCACAF Series | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| British Virgin IslandsCONCACAF Series | Home | 0–6 | Lost | |
| AnguillaCONCACAF Series | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Costa RicaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 0–8 | Lost | |
| GrenadaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| BarbadosCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| US Virgin IslandsCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Bahamas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
US Virgin Islands recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint MartinCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| BahamasCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Saint MartinCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Puerto RicoFIFA Series | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| American SamoaFIFA Series | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| GrenadaFriendlies | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Turks and Caicos IslandsFriendlies | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BahamasCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BarbadosCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| BarbadosCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from US Virgin Islands’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
CONCACAF Nations League — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.