Premier League · Regular Season - 4
Montego Bay United1–0Dunbeholden
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Wespow Park
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden: match review and analysis
Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden in Premier League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Montego Bay United recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Dunbeholden recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 7 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Montego Bay United | Dunbeholden |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Montego Bay United: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 2.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dunbeholden: (0.50 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Montego Bay United recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing UnitedPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tru-JuicePremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ChapeltonPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Mount Pleasant AcademyPremier League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| CavalierPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CavalierPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mount Pleasant AcademyPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Treasure BeachPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Harbour ViewPremier League | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Tivoli GardensPremier League | Home | 5–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Montego Bay United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Dunbeholden recent form
0.70 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant AcademyPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Arnett GardensPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CavalierPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| WaterhousePremier League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Mount Pleasant AcademyPremier League | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Treasure BeachPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Harbour ViewPremier League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Tivoli GardensPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Racing UnitedPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Arnett GardensPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Dunbeholden’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Montego Bay United are ranked 1 in Premier League, with 10 points from 4 games.
Dunbeholden are ranked 14 in Premier League, with 0 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montego Bay United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Waterhouse | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 9 |
| 3 | Racing United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Tivoli Gardens | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Tru-Juice | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Portmore United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Arnett Gardens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Mount Pleasant Academy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Chapelton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 |
| 11 | Molynes United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 12 | Treasure Beach | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Humble Lions | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
| 14 | Dunbeholden | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.