Primera A · Clausura - 13
Bucaramanga3–1Junior
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera A
- Venue
- Estadio Américo Montanini
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- 3–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Bucaramanga vs Junior: match review and analysis
Bucaramanga vs Junior in Primera A on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Bucaramanga recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Junior recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 17 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bucaramanga | Junior |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bucaramanga: (1.83 weighted goals scored + 1.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Junior: (1.76 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bucaramanga recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Once CaldasPrimera A | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Internacional de BogotaPrimera A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Independiente MedellinPrimera A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Deportivo PereiraPrimera A | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo CaliPrimera A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportes TolimaPrimera A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Alianza ValleduparPrimera A | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| CucutaPrimera A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LlanerosPrimera A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MillonariosPrimera A | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Bucaramanga’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Junior recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico NacionalPrimera A | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Independiente MedellinPrimera A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Fortaleza FCPrimera A | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Alianza ValleduparPrimera A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| JaguaresPrimera A | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Santa FePrimera A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| America de CaliPrimera A | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Once CaldasPrimera A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MillonariosPrimera A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BarranquillaCopa Colombia | Away | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Junior’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Junior are ranked 2 in Apertura, with 35 points from 19 games.
Bucaramanga are ranked 13 in Apertura, with 23 points from 19 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 |
Bucaramanga are ranked 3 in Clausura, with 23 points from 11 games.
Junior are ranked 17 in Clausura, with 9 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico Nacional | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 | Fortaleza FC | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Junior | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 9 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.