Copa de la División Profesional · Group Stage - 7
Independiente Petrolero0–3Bolívar
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa de la División Profesional
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–3
- 90-minute score
- 0–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar: match review and analysis
Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar in Copa de la División Profesional on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Independiente Petrolero recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 20. Bolívar recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 27 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Independiente Petrolero | Bolívar |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 27 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Independiente Petrolero: (1.81 weighted goals scored + 0.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bolívar: (2.52 weighted goals scored + 1.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Independiente Petrolero recent form
1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BloomingCopa de la División Profesional | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJCopa de la División Profesional | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Real TomayapoCopa de la División Profesional | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| San Antonio Bulo BuloPrimera División | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Universitario de VintoPrimera División | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BolívarCopa de la División Profesional | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BolívarPrimera División | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Real TomayapoCopa de la División Profesional | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| GuabiráPrimera División | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Nacional PotosíPrimera División | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Independiente Petrolero’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bolívar recent form
2.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gualberto Villarroel SJCopa de la División Profesional | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| BloomingCopa de la División Profesional | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| The StrongestCopa de la División Profesional | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJPrimera División | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Real TomayapoPrimera División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Independiente PetroleroCopa de la División Profesional | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Independiente PetroleroPrimera División | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJCopa de la División Profesional | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| The StrongestCopa de la División Profesional | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| ABBPrimera División | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Bolívar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa de la División Profesional — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.