Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 5
A Madrid III3–2Conquense
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–2
- 90-minute score
- 3–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
A Madrid III vs Conquense: match review and analysis
A Madrid III vs Conquense in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
A Madrid III recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 10. Conquense recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 11 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | A Madrid III | Conquense |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
A Madrid III: (1.93 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Conquense: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 0.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
A Madrid III recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid IIISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Atlético PasoSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Real ÁvilaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| MóstolesTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SS Reyes IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Racing MadridTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 5–3 | Won | |
| Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Villaverde-BoetticherTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from A Madrid III’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Conquense recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NavalcarneroSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Salamanca UDSSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gimnástica SegovianaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Getafe IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| UD OurenseSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| UD OurenseSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| XerezSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| XerezSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Real Madrid IIISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tenerife IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Conquense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
A Madrid III are ranked 1 in Segunda Rfef: Group 5, with 12 points from 5 games.
Conquense are ranked 4 in Segunda Rfef: Group 5, with 10 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A Madrid III | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Numancia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SS Reyes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Conquense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Valladolid II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Salamanca UDS | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | CF Talavera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Gimnástica Segoviana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Navalcarnero | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | RSD Alcalá | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Ávila | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Guadalajara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Atlético Paso | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Albacete II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Atlético Tordesillas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Calvo Sotelo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Getafe II | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Real Madrid III | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.