B-Liga Women · Regular Season - 8
AaB W1–4Naestved W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 7 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- B-Liga Women
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–4
- 90-minute score
- 1–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
AaB W vs Naestved W: match review and analysis
AaB W vs Naestved W in B-Liga Women on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–4. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
AaB W recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 26. Naestved W recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 10 scored and 7 conceded across 7 games.
| Statistic | AaB W | Naestved W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 7 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 26 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
AaB W: (0.94 weighted goals scored + 0.99 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Naestved W: (1.74 weighted goals scored + 2.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
AaB W recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sundby WB-Liga Women | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Viborg WB-Liga Women | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Esbjerg WB-Liga Women | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Thy ThistedQ WB-Liga Women | Home | 3–6 | Lost | |
| B 93 WB-Liga Women | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Osterbro WB-Liga Women | Home | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Naestved WB-Liga Women | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Køge WKvindeliga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AGF WKvindeliga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Fortuna Hjørring WKvindeliga | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from AaB W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 7 GAMES
Naestved W recent form
1.43 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 of 7 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thy ThistedQ WB-Liga Women | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Sundby WB-Liga Women | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| B 93 WB-Liga Women | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Viborg WB-Liga Women | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Osterbro WB-Liga Women | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Esbjerg WB-Liga Women | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AaB WB-Liga Women | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Naestved W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 7 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
B-Liga Women — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Naestved W are ranked 4 in Regular Season, with 13 points from 8 games.
AaB W are ranked 7 in Regular Season, with 4 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B 93 W | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Sundby W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Osterbro W | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Naestved W | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Thy ThistedQ W | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Viborg W | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | AaB W | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 4 |
| 8 | Esbjerg W | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.