Liga Premier Serie A · Apertura - 7
AcambarovsCiervos
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Premier Serie A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Acambaro vs Ciervos: match review and analysis
Acambaro vs Ciervos in Liga Premier Serie A on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Acambaro recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 25 and conceding 15. Ciervos recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, with 7 scored and 29 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Acambaro | Ciervos |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 25 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 29 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Acambaro: (2.32 weighted goals scored + 3.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ciervos: (0.74 weighted goals scored + 1.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Acambaro recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calor de San PedroLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Artesanos MetepecLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Guerreros del PacificoLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dragones de OaxacaLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Delfines CoatzacoalcosLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Cañoneros MarinaLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 8–0 | Won | |
| Gorilas de JuanacatlanLiga Premier Serie B | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Gorilas de JuanacatlanLiga Premier Serie B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gorilas de JuanacatlanLiga Premier Serie B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Huracanes IzcalliLiga Premier Serie B | Away | 8–3 | Won |
Scores shown from Acambaro’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ciervos recent form
0.70 goals scored and 2.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halcones NegrosLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Real RefinerosLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Calor de San PedroLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Artesanos MetepecLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Guerreros del PacificoLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Dragones de OaxacaLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ChilpancingoLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC SantiagoLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Zacatepec 1948Liga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Sporting CanamyLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Ciervos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Premier Serie A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Acambaro are ranked 4 in Liga Premier Serie A, with 10 points from 6 games.
Ciervos are ranked 9 in Liga Premier Serie A, with 2 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 1 | Artesanos Metepec | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Acatlan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Halcones Negros | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 11 |
| 4 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Acambaro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Correcaminos UAT II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Guerreros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 6 | Guerreros del Pacifico | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | Atlético Saltillo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 7 | Calor de San Pedro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 8 | FC Santiago | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 2 |
| 10 | Héroes de Zaci | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 2 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 19 | -18 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.