Liga de Ascenso · Regular Season - 11
AD Carmelita0–2Guadalupe FC
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga de Ascenso
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–2
- 90-minute score
- 0–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
AD Carmelita vs Guadalupe FC: match review and analysis
AD Carmelita vs Guadalupe FC in Liga de Ascenso on 10 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
AD Carmelita recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 11. Guadalupe FC recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 13 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | AD Carmelita | Guadalupe FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
AD Carmelita: (2.08 weighted goals scored + 1.99 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Guadalupe FC: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 0.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
AD Carmelita recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Futbol Consultants MoraviaLiga de Ascenso | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Santa AnaLiga de Ascenso | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CS UruguayLiga de Ascenso | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Cariari PocociLiga de Ascenso | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Pitbulls Santa Barbara FCLiga de Ascenso | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Aserri FCLiga de Ascenso | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Guadalupe FCLiga de Ascenso | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Futbol Consultants MoraviaLiga de Ascenso | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Santa AnaLiga de Ascenso | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| CS UruguayLiga de Ascenso | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from AD Carmelita’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Guadalupe FC recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aserri FCLiga de Ascenso | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Pitbulls Santa Barbara FCLiga de Ascenso | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Futbol Consultants MoraviaLiga de Ascenso | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Santa AnaLiga de Ascenso | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CS UruguayLiga de Ascenso | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cariari PocociLiga de Ascenso | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| AD CarmelitaLiga de Ascenso | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Aserri FCLiga de Ascenso | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Pitbulls Santa Barbara FCLiga de Ascenso | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Futbol Consultants MoraviaLiga de Ascenso | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Guadalupe FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga de Ascenso — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
AD Carmelita are ranked 6 in Regular Season, with 15 points from 10 games.
Guadalupe FC are ranked 11 in Regular Season, with 9 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aserri FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 27 |
| 2 | ADR Jicaral | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Santa Ana | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 21 |
| 4 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Quepos Cambute | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | AD Carmelita | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
| 7 | Municipal Grecia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Cariari Pococi | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | AD Sarchí | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Futbol Consultants Moravia | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Guadalupe FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | CS Uruguay | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 9 |
| 13 | Santa Cruz FC | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | AD Cofutpa | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.