3. Lig - Group 3 · 3. Lig Group 3 - 5
Adanaspor1–2Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Lig - Group 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Adanaspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor: match review and analysis
Adanaspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor in 3. Lig - Group 3 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Adanaspor recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 3 and conceding 44. Mazıdağı Fosfatspor recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 15 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Adanaspor | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 3 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 44 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Adanaspor: (0.35 weighted goals scored + 0.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor: (1.54 weighted goals scored + 4.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Adanaspor recent form
0.30 goals scored and 4.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeşilyurt Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 3 | Away | 0–8 | Lost | |
| Karaköprü Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 3 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Adana Adaletgucu3. Lig - Group 3 | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Niğde Belediyesispor3. Lig - Group 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Muş Sport Klübü2. Lig | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Arnavutköy Belediyespor2. Lig | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| 1461 Trabzon FK2. Lig | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Aliağa FAŞ2. Lig | Home | 1–8 | Lost | |
| Somaspor2. Lig | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Ankara Demirspor2. Lig | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Adanaspor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osmaniyespor3. Lig - Group 3 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu3. Lig - Group 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Diyarbekirspor3. Lig - Group 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu3. Lig - Group 3 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Talasgücü Belediyespor3. Lig - Play-offs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Talasgücü Belediyespor3. Lig - Play-offs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Niğde Belediyesispor3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kahramanmaraşspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Diyarbekirspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Talasgücü Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Mazıdağı Fosfatspor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Lig - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor are ranked 4 in 3. Lig Group 3, with 13 points from 5 games.
Adanaspor are ranked 18 in 3. Lig Group 3, with 0 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 20 | 15 |
| 2 | Niğde Belediyesispor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Karaköprü Belediyespor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Talasgücü Belediyespor | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Kırşehir Belediyespor | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 12 |
| 7 | Bitlis Özgüzelderespor | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Ağrı 1970 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Adana Adaletgucu | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Silifke Belediyespor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | Osmaniyespor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
| 14 | Karaman FK | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3 |
| 15 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | -15 | 3 |
| 16 | Diyarbekirspor | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 17 | Yeni Malatyaspor | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 15 | -15 | 0 |
| 18 | Adanaspor | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.