1. Division · Regular Season - 5
FULL-TIME
AEK Larnaca1–0Omonia Aradippou
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1. Division
- Venue
- AEK Arena
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou: match review and analysis
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou in 1. Division on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
AEK Larnaca recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Omonia Aradippou recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 14 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | AEK Larnaca | Omonia Aradippou |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
AEK Larnaca: (1.81 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Omonia Aradippou: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 0.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
AEK Larnaca recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon LimassolFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Nea SalamisFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Omonia 29is Maiou1. Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Pafos1. Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nea Salamis1. Division | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Apoel Nicosia1. Division | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Omonia AradippouFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Beitar JerusalemUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Beitar JerusalemUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Apollon LimassolFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from AEK Larnaca’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Omonia Aradippou recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos1. Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Karmiotissa1. Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Krasava Ypsonas1. Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Omonia Nicosia1. Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AEK LarnacaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| KarmiotissaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Ethnikos Achna1. Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Akritas1. Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Olympiakos1. Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Krasava Ypsonas1. Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Omonia Aradippou’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1. Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
AEK Larnaca are ranked 1 in 1-division, with 12 points from 5 games.
Omonia Aradippou are ranked 8 in 1-division, with 6 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | AEL | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 | Omonia Nicosia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| 4 | Pafos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Aris | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Apoel Nicosia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Olympiakos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Nea Salamis | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Anorthosis | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 3 |
| 14 | Krasava Ypsonas | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.