Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 · Group 1 - 1
Aetos OrfanivsXanthi FC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Aetos Orfani vs Xanthi FC: match review and analysis
Aetos Orfani vs Xanthi FC in Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Aetos Orfani recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 30. Xanthi FC recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 22 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Aetos Orfani | Xanthi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 30 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Aetos Orfani: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 0.46 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Xanthi FC: (2.29 weighted goals scored + 3.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Aetos Orfani recent form
1.50 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PanthrakikosGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Poseidon Nea MichanionaGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Xanthi FCGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Home | 0–7 | Lost | |
| Iraklis Therm.Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Doxa DramasGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Poseidon Nea MichanionaGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Orestis OrestiadasGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Thermaikos ThermisGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Apollon Krya VrysiGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KilkisiakosGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Away | 2–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Aetos Orfani’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Xanthi FC recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis Therm.Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PanthrakikosGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Aetos OrfaniGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Away | 7–0 | Won | |
| Doxa DramasGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Poseidon Nea MichanionaGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Iraklis Therm.Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| KilkisiakosGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Doxa DramasGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Apollon Krya VrysiGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PanthrakikosGamma Ethniki - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Xanthi FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.