Tweede Divisie · Regular Season - 9
AFC AmsterdamvsHoek
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tweede Divisie
- Venue
- Sportpark Goed Genoeg
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek: match review and analysis
AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek in Tweede Divisie on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
AFC Amsterdam recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Hoek recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 14 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | AFC Amsterdam | Hoek |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
AFC Amsterdam: (1.86 weighted goals scored + 1.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hoek: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 1.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
AFC Amsterdam recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpakenburgTweede Divisie | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KatwijkTweede Divisie | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Groene SterKNVB Beker | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| Koninklijke HFCTweede Divisie | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| HHCTweede Divisie | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Rijnsburgse BoysTweede Divisie | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Be Quick 1887KNVB Beker | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| ROHDA RaalteTweede Divisie | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| GVVV VeenendaalTweede Divisie | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| KloetingeTweede Divisie | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from AFC Amsterdam’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hoek recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| De TreffersTweede Divisie | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Sparta Rotterdam IITweede Divisie | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Almere City IITweede Divisie | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BarendrechtTweede Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RKAV VolendamTweede Divisie | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SpakenburgTweede Divisie | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KatwijkTweede Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Koninklijke HFCTweede Divisie | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| NAC BredaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| De TreffersTweede Divisie | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Hoek’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tweede Divisie — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
AFC Amsterdam are ranked 10 in Tweede Divisie, with 10 points from 8 games.
Hoek are ranked 13 in Tweede Divisie, with 9 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 21 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | HHC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Barendrecht | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Ijsselmeervogels | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Spakenburg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam II | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Katwijk | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | AFC Amsterdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 | GVVV Veenendaal | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Hoek | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | RKAV Volendam | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 | Almere City II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Koninklijke HFC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Kloetinge | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | ROHDA Raalte | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.