Northern Super League · Regular season
AFC Toronto W1–1Vancouver Rise W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Northern Super League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
AFC Toronto W vs Vancouver Rise W: match review and analysis
AFC Toronto W vs Vancouver Rise W in Northern Super League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
AFC Toronto W recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 8. Vancouver Rise W recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 21 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | AFC Toronto W | Vancouver Rise W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
AFC Toronto W: (1.75 weighted goals scored + 1.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Vancouver Rise W: (2.13 weighted goals scored + 0.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
AFC Toronto W recent form
1.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ottawa Rapid WNorthern Super League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Halifax Tides WNorthern Super League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Montreal Roses WNorthern Super League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Calgary Wild WNorthern Super League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ottawa Rapid WNorthern Super League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Halifax Tides WNorthern Super League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Montreal Roses WNorthern Super League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ottawa Rapid WNorthern Super League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Calgary Wild WNorthern Super League | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| Calgary Wild WNorthern Super League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from AFC Toronto W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Vancouver Rise W recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calgary Wild WNorthern Super League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Montreal Roses WNorthern Super League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ottawa Rapid WNorthern Super League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Halifax Tides WNorthern Super League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Calgary Wild WNorthern Super League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ottawa Rapid WNorthern Super League | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| Halifax Tides WNorthern Super League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Calgary Wild WNorthern Super League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Montreal Roses WNorthern Super League | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Halifax Tides WNorthern Super League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Vancouver Rise W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Northern Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
AFC Toronto W are ranked 1 in Regular season, with 38 points from 23 games.
Vancouver Rise W are ranked 4 in Regular season, with 28 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Toronto W | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Montreal Roses W | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Ottawa Rapid W | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 37 |
| 4 | Vancouver Rise W | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 28 |
| 5 | Halifax Tides W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 6 | Calgary Wild W | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.