Liga III - Serie 4 · Group 4 - 8
AgigeavsFC Oţelul II
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga III - Serie 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Agigea vs FC Oţelul II: match review and analysis
Agigea vs FC Oţelul II in Liga III - Serie 4 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Agigea recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 14. FC Oţelul II recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses, with 9 scored and 27 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Agigea | FC Oţelul II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 27 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Agigea: (1.32 weighted goals scored + 2.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC Oţelul II: (0.98 weighted goals scored + 1.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Agigea recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunarea CalarasiLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Înainte ModeluLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Unirea BranişteaLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Portul ConstantaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sporting LieştiLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Gloria BăneasaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Recolta Gheorghe DojaLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 5–3 | Won | |
| AxiopolisCupa României | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Progresul FunduleaLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FCSB IILiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Agigea’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Oţelul II recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portul ConstantaLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sporting LieştiLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Gloria BăneasaLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Recolta Gheorghe DojaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AxiopolisLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Progresul FunduleaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Agricola BorceaLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PlopeniLiga III - Serie 2 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Râmnicu SăratLiga III - Serie 2 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Victoria TraianLiga III - Serie 2 | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from FC Oţelul II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga III - Serie 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Agigea are ranked 3 in Group 4, with 14 points from 7 games.
FC Oţelul II are ranked 12 in Group 4, with 3 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Agricola Borcea | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Înainte Modelu | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Agigea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Axiopolis | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Sporting Lieşti | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Progresul Fundulea | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Dunarea Calarasi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 9 | Unirea Braniştea | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Gloria Băneasa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 11 | Portul Constanta | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Oţelul II | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.