Primera Division · Apertura - 14
Águila4–1Cacahuatique
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–1
- 90-minute score
- 4–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 22′C. GarayNormal GoalÁguila
- 42′R. VillatoroNormal GoalÁguila
- 48′T. A. BenitezNormal GoalÁguila
- 63′R. PadillaNormal GoalCacahuatique
- 90+2′S. AyalaNormal GoalÁguila
Cards
- 84′E. UmeresRed CardCacahuatique
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Águila vs Cacahuatique: match review and analysis
Águila vs Cacahuatique in Primera Division on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Águila recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Cacahuatique recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 5 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Águila | Cacahuatique |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Águila: (1.68 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cacahuatique: (0.58 weighted goals scored + 1.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Águila recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| InterPrimera Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FirpoPrimera Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PlatensePrimera Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Inca ArubaPrimera Division | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Municipal LimeñoPrimera Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AlianzaPrimera Division | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| FASPrimera Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Atletico BalboaPrimera Division | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Isidro MetapánPrimera Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Águila’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cacahuatique recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico BalboaPrimera Division | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Isidro MetapánPrimera Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FirpoPrimera Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FASPrimera Division | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| InterPrimera Division | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PlatensePrimera Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Inca ArubaPrimera Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Municipal LimeñoPrimera Division | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AlianzaPrimera Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Cacahuatique’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Águila are ranked 5 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 20 points from 14 games.
Cacahuatique are ranked 11 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 11 points from 14 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapán | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | Firpo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | FAS | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Inter | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | Águila | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Alianza | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeño | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Platense | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.