Primera Division · Apertura - 15
ÁguilavsIsidro Metapán
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Águila vs Isidro Metapán: match review and analysis
Águila vs Isidro Metapán in Primera Division on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Águila recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 13. Isidro Metapán recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Águila | Isidro Metapán |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Águila: (2.12 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Isidro Metapán: (1.42 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Águila recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CacahuatiquePrimera Division | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| InterPrimera Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FirpoPrimera Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PlatensePrimera Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Inca ArubaPrimera Division | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Municipal LimeñoPrimera Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AlianzaPrimera Division | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| FASPrimera Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Atletico BalboaPrimera Division | Home | 2–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Águila’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Isidro Metapán recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico BalboaPrimera Division | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| CacahuatiquePrimera Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| InterPrimera Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FirpoPrimera Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| PlatensePrimera Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Inca ArubaPrimera Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Municipal LimeñoPrimera Division | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AlianzaPrimera Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ÁguilaPrimera Division | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Isidro Metapán’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Isidro Metapán are ranked 2 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 26 points from 13 games.
Águila are ranked 5 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 20 points from 14 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FAS | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Isidro Metapán | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Firpo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
| 4 | Inter | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | Águila | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Alianza | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeño | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Platense | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.