Division 2 - Norra Götaland · Norra Götaland - 25
AhlaforsvsStenungsund
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Division 2 - Norra Götaland
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ahlafors vs Stenungsund: match review and analysis
Ahlafors vs Stenungsund in Division 2 - Norra Götaland on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ahlafors recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 9. Stenungsund recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 18 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ahlafors | Stenungsund |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ahlafors: (2.92 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Stenungsund: (1.96 weighted goals scored + 0.99 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ahlafors recent form
2.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MotalaDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| Vänersborgs IFDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| SkaraDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HusqvarnaDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Vänersborgs FKDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KumlaDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Home | 7–1 | Won | |
| LidköpingDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| GrebbestadDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| IF Karlstad IIDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| IFK SkövdeDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Ahlafors’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Stenungsund recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK SkövdeDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| TordDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| IF Karlstad IIDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Vänersborgs FKDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MotalaDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| HerrestadsDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GrebbestadDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KumlaDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| LidköpingDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| SkaraDivision 2 - Norra Götaland | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Stenungsund’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Division 2 - Norra Götaland — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ahlafors are ranked 4 in North Gotland, with 43 points from 24 games.
Stenungsund are ranked 7 in North Gotland, with 33 points from 24 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 18 | 40 | 63 |
| 2 | Skara | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | IFK Skövde | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 47 |
| 4 | Ahlafors | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Grebbestad | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Herrestads | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 37 |
| 7 | Stenungsund | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 33 |
| 8 | Vänersborgs FK | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Lidköping | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 27 |
| 10 | Motala | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 26 |
| 11 | Kumla | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 26 |
| 12 | Tord | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 21 |
| 13 | IF Karlstad II | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 13 |
| 14 | Vänersborgs IF | 24 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.