Premier League · Regular Season - 12
Airbus UK3–0Trefelin
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- The Airfield
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–0
- 90-minute score
- 3–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Airbus UK vs Trefelin: match review and analysis
Airbus UK vs Trefelin in Premier League on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Airbus UK recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Trefelin recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, with 5 scored and 25 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Airbus UK | Trefelin |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 25 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Airbus UK: (1.91 weighted goals scored + 2.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Trefelin: (0.61 weighted goals scored + 1.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Airbus UK recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PenybontPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Flint Town UnitedPremier League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| GAP Connah S Quay FCPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| The New SaintsPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Briton FerryPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| HolywellPremier League | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| Barry TownPremier League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Colwyn BayPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ammanford AFCPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Cardiff METPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Airbus UK’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Trefelin recent form
0.50 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New SaintsPremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Briton FerryPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cambrian & ClydachPremier League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| PenybontPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HolywellPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Haverfordwest County AFCPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ammanford AFCPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Caernarfon TownPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GAP Connah S Quay FCPremier League | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| LlandudnoPremier League | Home | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Trefelin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Airbus UK are ranked 8 in Premier League, with 18 points from 12 games.
Trefelin are ranked 15 in Premier League, with 3 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 5 | 33 | 34 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 32 | -23 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 30 | -25 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 38 | -25 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.