League One · Regular Season - 9
Airdrie United1–0Montrose
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League One
- Venue
- Albert Bartlett Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Airdrie United vs Montrose: match review and analysis
Airdrie United vs Montrose in League One on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Airdrie United recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Montrose recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 21 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Airdrie United | Montrose |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Airdrie United: (2.56 weighted goals scored + 1.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Montrose: (1.97 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Airdrie United recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berwick RangersChallenge Cup | Home | 7–1 | Won | |
| Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticChallenge Cup | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| PeterheadLeague One | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Alloa AthleticLeague One | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| St. Mirren U21Challenge Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Queen of the SouthLeague One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| East FifeLeague One | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Stirling AlbionChallenge Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ross CountyLeague One | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Hamilton AcademicalLeague One | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Airdrie United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Montrose recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelty HeartsChallenge Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Formartine UnitedChallenge Cup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| East FifeLeague One | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Cove RangersLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dundee IIChallenge Cup | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| PeterheadLeague One | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Queen of the SouthLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ClydeChallenge Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| East KilbrideLeague One | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Alloa AthleticLeague One | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Montrose’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Montrose are ranked 4 in Division2, with 15 points from 9 games.
Airdrie United are ranked 5 in Division2, with 12 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 5 | 21 | 22 |
| 2 | Hamilton Academical | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Montrose | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 5 | Airdrie United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | East Fife | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Peterhead | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 9 | Queen of the South | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 7 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.