Pro League · Regular Season - 8
Al-FatehvsAl-Ahli Jeddah
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Pro League
- Venue
- Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: match review and analysis
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah in Pro League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Al-Fateh recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 17. Al-Ahli Jeddah recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 20 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Al-Fateh | Al-Ahli Jeddah |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Al-Fateh: (0.53 weighted goals scored + 1.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al-Ahli Jeddah: (1.78 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Al-Fateh recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEOMPro League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Al DiriyahPro League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Al TaawonPro League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al-Ittihad FCPro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al-Faisaly FCPro League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al-EttifaqPro League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al UlaKing's Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Al-NassrPro League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| MallorcaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Al KholoodPro League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Al-Fateh’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Al-Ahli Jeddah recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamelodi SundownsFIFA Intercontinental Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PakhtakorAFC Champions League Elite | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al-HazmPro League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Al-Qadisiyah FCPro League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Al RiyadhPro League | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FCPro League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Al KholoodPro League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AucklandFIFA Intercontinental Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AbhaPro League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Al AnwarKing's Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Al-Ahli Jeddah’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Pro League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Al-Ahli Jeddah are ranked 6 in Saudi Professional League, with 12 points from 7 games.
Al-Fateh are ranked 15 in Saudi Professional League, with 3 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 18 |
| 2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | NEOM | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Kholood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Al-Ettifaq | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Al-Hazm | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 | Al-Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Al-Fateh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 16 | Al-Faisaly FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.