Pro League · Regular Season - 8
Al-FayhavsAl Riyadh
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Pro League
- Venue
- Al Majma’a Sport City
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh: match review and analysis
Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh in Pro League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Al-Fayha recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Al Riyadh recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Al-Fayha | Al Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Al-Fayha: (1.08 weighted goals scored + 1.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al Riyadh: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Al-Fayha recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al ShababPro League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al-Ittihad FCPro League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Al KholoodPro League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AbhaPro League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Al TaawonPro League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FCPro League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Al-AdalahKing's Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| NEOMPro League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Den BoschFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KVC WesterloFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Al-Fayha’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Al Riyadh recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al KholoodPro League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Al Khaleej SaihatPro League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al-Ahli JeddahPro League | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| NEOMPro League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al ShababPro League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Al-NassrPro League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Al ZulfiKing's Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Al-EttifaqPro League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Al-GharafaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Al OkhdoodPro League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Al Riyadh’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Pro League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Al Riyadh are ranked 11 in Saudi Professional League, with 8 points from 7 games.
Al-Fayha are ranked 12 in Saudi Professional League, with 6 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 18 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | NEOM | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Al-Ettifaq | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al-Hazm | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 | Al-Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
| 17 | Al-Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.