Premier League · Regular Season - 6
Al IttihadvsEl Gouna FC
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Alexandria Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC: match review and analysis
Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC in Premier League on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Al Ittihad recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 7. El Gouna FC recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 8 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Al Ittihad | El Gouna FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Al Ittihad: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
El Gouna FC: (0.69 weighted goals scored + 0.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Al Ittihad recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wadi DeglaLeague Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AL MasryPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Asyut PetrolPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Abu Qair SemadPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ceramica CleopatraPremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Zamalek SCPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| National Bank of EgyptPremier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ismaily SCPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Ghazl El MehallaPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| El GeishPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Al Ittihad’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
El Gouna FC recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El MokawloonLeague Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PetrojetPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Pyramids FCPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| El MokawloonPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Olympic El QanahPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Future FCPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PetrojetPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| El GeishPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| National Bank of EgyptPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kahraba IsmailiaPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from El Gouna FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Al Ittihad are ranked 6 in Premier League, with 10 points from 5 games.
El Gouna FC are ranked 18 in Premier League, with 2 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Ahly | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Zamalek SC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Future FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | El Mokawloon | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Masr | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Petrojet | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Olympic El Qanah | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | El Geish | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | AL Masry | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Smouha SC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | National Bank of Egypt | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | Wadi Degla | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | Enppi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Abu Qair Semad | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | El Gouna FC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Asyut Petrol | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.