AFC Champions League Elite · League Phase - 2
84′
Al-Nassr3–1Neftchi
RealScored · Live match
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- AFC Champions League Elite
- Venue
- Al-Awwal Park
- Status
- Second Half
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Al-Nassr vs Neftchi: match review and analysis
Al-Nassr vs Neftchi in AFC Champions League Elite on 12 October 2026 is in progress. The latest saved score is 3–1. Scores and match status refresh automatically.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Al-Nassr recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 12. Neftchi recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 21 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Al-Nassr | Neftchi |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Al-Nassr: (2.15 weighted goals scored + 1.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Neftchi: (1.85 weighted goals scored + 1.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Al-Nassr recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al DiriyahPro League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Al AinAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Al Khaleej SaihatPro League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AbhaPro League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al-Ittihad FCPro League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Al TaawonPro League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al-EttifaqPro League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Al RiyadhPro League | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Al DiriyahKing's Cup | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Al-FatehPro League | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Al-Nassr’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Neftchi recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XorazmSuper League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LokomotivSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al Quwa Al JawiyaAFC Champions League Elite | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SurkhonSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| NasafSuper League | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| PakhtakorCup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SogdianaSuper League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| BuxoroSuper League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| AndijanSuper League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| QizilqumSuper League | Home | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Neftchi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
AFC Champions League Elite — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Neftchi are ranked 7 in West Region, with 3 points from 1 games.
Al-Nassr are ranked 16 in West Region, with 0 points from 1 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Al Ain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Esteghlal FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Neftchi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Al-Ittihad FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Tractor Sazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Al-Gharafa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Sadd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Al-Nassr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Daejeon Citizen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Buriram United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Port FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Pohang Steelers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Công An Nhân Dân | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.