AFC Champions League Elite · League Phase - 2
FULL-TIME
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–4Al Ain
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- AFC Champions League Elite
- Venue
- Basra Sports City
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–4
- 90-minute score
- 1–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Ain: match review and analysis
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Ain in AFC Champions League Elite on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–4. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Al Ain recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 24 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | Al Ain |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 24 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 1.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al Ain: (2.36 weighted goals scored + 1.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Al Quwa Al Jawiya recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MosulIraqi League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| DiyalaIraqi League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NeftchiAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al Zawra'aIraqi League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KarbalaIraqi League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| DuhokIraqi League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Naft MaysanIraqi League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ghaz Al ShamalIraqi League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ErbilIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NewrozIraqi League | Away | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Al Quwa Al Jawiya’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Al Ain recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ittihad KalbaLeague Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AjmanLeague Cup | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Al-Wasl FCLeague Cup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Al-NassrAFC Champions League Elite | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Al-Wasl FCPro League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Al-Ittihad KalbaPro League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Al NasrPro League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| KhorfakkanPro League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Baniyas SCPro League | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| OsasunaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Al Ain’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
AFC Champions League Elite — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Al Ain are ranked 3 in West Region, with 3 points from 1 games.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya are ranked 13 in West Region, with 0 points from 1 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Al Ain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Esteghlal FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Neftchi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Al-Ittihad FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Tractor Sazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Al-Gharafa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Sadd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Al-Nassr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Daejeon Citizen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Buriram United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Port FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Pohang Steelers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Công An Nhân Dân | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.