Stars League · Regular Season - 5
Al WakrahvsAl-Gharafa
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Stars League
- Venue
- Saoud bin Abdulrahman Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Al Wakrah vs Al-Gharafa: match review and analysis
Al Wakrah vs Al-Gharafa in Stars League on 8 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Al Wakrah recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 20. Al-Gharafa recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 17 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Al Wakrah | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Al Wakrah: (1.01 weighted goals scored + 2.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al-Gharafa: (1.57 weighted goals scored + 1.76 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Al Wakrah recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al KharaitiyatQSL Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al-SailiyaQSL Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al ShamalStars League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lusail CityStars League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Al-Rayyan SCStars League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Qatar SCStars League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| NantesFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| RouenFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CaenFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Stade Brestois 29Friendlies Clubs | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Al Wakrah’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Al-Gharafa recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al MesaimeerQSL Cup | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FCAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Lusail CityStars League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al SaddStars League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Al SaddQatar Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Al ShamalStars League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Al ShahaniyaStars League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al RiyadhFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ŠamorínFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Al SaddEmir Cup | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Al-Gharafa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Stars League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Al-Gharafa are ranked 9 in Stars League, with 4 points from 4 games.
Al Wakrah are ranked 11 in Stars League, with 2 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Sadd | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 12 |
| 2 | Al-Rayyan SC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Al Shamal | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Al-Arabi SC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Al-Duhail SC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Lusail City | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Al Shahaniya | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 | Al Ahli Doha | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 9 | Al-Gharafa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 10 | Qatar SC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 |
| 11 | Al Wakrah | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 |
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.