Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 · Group 13 - 6
AlgarvsSan Javier
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 5 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Algar vs San Javier: match review and analysis
Algar vs San Javier in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Algar recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 22. San Javier recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 8 scored and 5 conceded across 5 games.
| Statistic | Algar | San Javier |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 5 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 3 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Algar: (1.07 weighted goals scored + 0.99 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
San Javier: (1.49 weighted goals scored + 2.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Algar recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cartagena LU IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Balsicas AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SantomeraTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Bullas DeportivoTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Atlético PulpileñoTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Plus UltraTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| BullenseTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| AlcantarillaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CiezaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| El PalmarTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Algar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 5 GAMES
San Javier recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 3 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los GarresTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| UCAM Murcia IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SFC MinervaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Unión MolinenseTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Santa CruzTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from San Javier’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
San Javier are ranked 2 in Tercera: Group 13, with 11 points from 5 games.
Algar are ranked 17 in Tercera: Group 13, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | San Javier | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Alcantarilla | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Unión Molinense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Atlético Pulpileño | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Olímpico Totana | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | SFC Minerva | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Cotillas CD | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | UCAM Murcia II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Bullas Deportivo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Águilas II | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Bala Azul | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Los Garres | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Cartagena LU II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Balsicas Atlético | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Algar | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Mazarrón FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.