Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 6
Algeciras1–0Rayo Majadahonda
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División RFEF - Group 2
- Venue
- Estadio Nuevo Mirador
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Algeciras vs Rayo Majadahonda: match review and analysis
Algeciras vs Rayo Majadahonda in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Algeciras recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 19. Rayo Majadahonda recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Algeciras | Rayo Majadahonda |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Algeciras: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 0.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Rayo Majadahonda: (0.97 weighted goals scored + 1.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Algeciras recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventud TorremolinosPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ÁguilasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GimnasticPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Villarreal IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC CartagenaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Tottenham Hotspur U21Friendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atlético Madrid IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| HérculesPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SanluqueñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC CartagenaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Algeciras’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Rayo Majadahonda recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa FcPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TeruelPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC CartagenaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Villarreal IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Gimnástica SegovianaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AlcorconFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rayo Vallecano IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| FuenlabradaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Elche IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Rayo Majadahonda’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Algeciras are ranked 15 in Segunda B: Group 2, with 7 points from 6 games.
Rayo Majadahonda are ranked 17 in Segunda B: Group 2, with 4 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarreal II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Alcorcon | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Real Murcia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Real Jaén | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Hércules | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Antequera | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Ibiza | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Huesca | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Atlético Madrid II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Real Madrid II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Sant Andreu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Algeciras | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Águilas | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Rayo Majadahonda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Europa Fc | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Teruel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 2 |
| 20 | Juventud Torremolinos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.