Primera A · Clausura - 14
Alianza ValleduparvsÁguilas Doradas
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera A
- Venue
- Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas: match review and analysis
Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas in Primera A on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Alianza Valledupar recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 19. Águilas Doradas recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 12 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Alianza Valledupar | Águilas Doradas |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Alianza Valledupar: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Águilas Doradas: (1.02 weighted goals scored + 2.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Alianza Valledupar recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo CaliPrimera A | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| JaguaresPrimera A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Santa FePrimera A | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| ChicoPrimera A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| JuniorPrimera A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Once CaldasCopa Colombia | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| America de CaliPrimera A | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Atletico NacionalPrimera A | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| CucutaPrimera A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Deportivo PereiraPrimera A | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Alianza Valledupar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Águilas Doradas recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaguaresPrimera A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo CaliPrimera A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| America de CaliPrimera A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Deportivo PereiraPrimera A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Atletico NacionalPrimera A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Internacional de BogotaPrimera A | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ChicoPrimera A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MillonariosPrimera A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LlanerosPrimera A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportivo PastoPrimera A | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Águilas Doradas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Águilas Doradas are ranked 12 in Apertura, with 26 points from 19 games.
Alianza Valledupar are ranked 17 in Apertura, with 17 points from 19 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 |
Águilas Doradas are ranked 11 in Clausura, with 14 points from 11 games.
Alianza Valledupar are ranked 15 in Clausura, with 11 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico Nacional | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 | Fortaleza FC | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Junior | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 9 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.