Primera Division · Apertura - 14
Alianza2–2Firpo
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–2
- 90-minute score
- 2–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Alianza vs Firpo: match review and analysis
Alianza vs Firpo in Primera Division on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Alianza recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Firpo recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 14 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Alianza | Firpo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Alianza: (1.52 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Firpo: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 1.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Alianza recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlatensePrimera Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Inca ArubaPrimera Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Municipal LimeñoPrimera Division | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| CD MotaguaCONCACAF Central American Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CD MotaguaCONCACAF Central American Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| ÁguilaPrimera Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Atletico BalboaPrimera Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PlatensePrimera Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Isidro MetapánPrimera Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Alianza’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Firpo recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| ÁguilaPrimera Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CacahuatiquePrimera Division | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Atletico BalboaPrimera Division | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| CD OlimpiaCONCACAF Central American Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Isidro MetapánPrimera Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CD OlimpiaCONCACAF Central American Cup | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| InterPrimera Division | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| FASPrimera Division | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| XelajúCONCACAF Central American Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Firpo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Firpo are ranked 2 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 25 points from 13 games.
Alianza are ranked 6 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 18 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapán | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | Firpo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | FAS | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Inter | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | Águila | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Alianza | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeño | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Platense | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.