League One · Regular Season - 10
Alloa AthleticvsHamilton Academical
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League One
- Venue
- Recreation Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical: match review and analysis
Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical in League One on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Alloa Athletic recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Hamilton Academical recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 20 scored and 3 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Alloa Athletic | Hamilton Academical |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 3 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Alloa Athletic: (1.74 weighted goals scored + 0.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hamilton Academical: (2.09 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Alloa Athletic recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross CountyLeague One | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Gala Fairydean RoversChallenge Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hibernian U21Challenge Cup | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| East KilbrideLeague One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Airdrie UnitedLeague One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ClydebankChallenge Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cove RangersLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PeterheadLeague One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Motherwell U21Challenge Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Queen of the SouthLeague One | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Alloa Athletic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hamilton Academical recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.30 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PeterheadLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kilmarnock IIChallenge Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| CowdenbeathChallenge Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Queen of the SouthLeague One | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| SpartansChallenge Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| East KilbrideLeague One | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cove RangersLeague One | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Edinburgh CityChallenge Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| East FifeLeague One | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Airdrie UnitedLeague One | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Hamilton Academical’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Hamilton Academical are ranked 2 in Division2, with 22 points from 8 games.
Alloa Athletic are ranked 6 in Division2, with 9 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 5 | 21 | 22 |
| 2 | Hamilton Academical | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Montrose | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 5 | Airdrie United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | East Fife | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Peterhead | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 9 | Queen of the South | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 7 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.