Persian Gulf Pro League · Regular Season - 8
Aluminium Arak1–1Malavan
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Persian Gulf Pro League
- Venue
- Imam Khomeini
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan: match review and analysis
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan in Persian Gulf Pro League on 8 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Aluminium Arak recorded 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Malavan recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 7 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Aluminium Arak | Malavan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Aluminium Arak: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Malavan: (0.76 weighted goals scored + 0.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Aluminium Arak recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteghlal FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Shams Azar QazvinPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Chadormalu SCPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| PaykanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Shams Azar QazvinPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Aluminium Arak’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Malavan recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mes Shahr-e BabakPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nassaji MazandaranPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Fajr SepasiPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sanat NaftPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tractor SaziPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Malavan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Persian Gulf Pro League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Aluminium Arak are ranked 4 in Premier League, with 12 points from 6 games.
Malavan are ranked 12 in Premier League, with 7 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tractor Sazi | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Esteghlal FC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Persepolis FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Aluminium Arak | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Sepahan FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Gol Gohar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Foolad FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Paykan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Chadormalu SC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Fajr Sepasi | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Malavan | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | ZOB Ahan | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.