Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 7
AmarantevsPortimonense
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda Liga
- Venue
- Municipal de Amarante
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Amarante vs Portimonense: match review and analysis
Amarante vs Portimonense in Segunda Liga on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Amarante recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Portimonense recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 9 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Amarante | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Amarante: (1.14 weighted goals scored + 0.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Portimonense: (0.77 weighted goals scored + 1.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Amarante recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte da BarcaTaça de Portugal | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| União de LeiriaSegunda Liga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LeixoesSegunda Liga | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Benfica BSegunda Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| VizelaSegunda Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Lusitânia LourosaSegunda Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TondelaSegunda Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MoreirenseFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ChavesFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Guimaraes BLiga 3 | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Amarante’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Portimonense recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castro DaireTaça de Portugal | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| TondelaSegunda Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| União de LeiriaSegunda Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LeixoesSegunda Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Benfica BSegunda Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| VizelaSegunda Liga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PenafielSegunda Liga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nottingham ForestFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| EstrelaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al-Ahli JeddahFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Portimonense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Portimonense are ranked 11 in Division2, with 7 points from 6 games.
Amarante are ranked 15 in Division2, with 5 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Penafiel | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Farense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Vizela | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | União de Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Leixoes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Tondela | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | AVS | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Felgueiras 1932 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Torreense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Amarante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Chaves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.