Second League - Group 1 · Group 1 - 26
Angust Nazran1–0Pobeda
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Angust Nazran vs Pobeda: match review and analysis
Angust Nazran vs Pobeda in Second League - Group 1 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Angust Nazran recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Pobeda recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 20 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Angust Nazran | Pobeda |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 3 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 3 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Angust Nazran: (0.25 weighted goals scored + 1.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pobeda: (1.92 weighted goals scored + 1.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Angust Nazran recent form
0.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 3 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AstrakhanSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nart CherkesskSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Spartak NalchikSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DruzhbaSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SevastopolSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rostov IISecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DruzhbaCup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| LuganskSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rubin YaltaSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| KyzyltashSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Angust Nazran’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pobeda recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak NalchikSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Dynamo Makhachkala IISecond League - Group 1 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AstrakhanSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| IzberbashSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Rostov IISecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| LuganskSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Volgar AstrakhanCup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SevastopolSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FK Chayka 2Second League - Group 1 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Shahter TaganrogSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 4–3 | Won |
Scores shown from Pobeda’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Pobeda are ranked 5 in South, with 33 points from 20 games.
Angust Nazran are ranked 13 in South, with 16 points from 20 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevastopol | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 50 |
| 2 | Shahter Taganrog | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 22 | 46 |
| 3 | Rostov II | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 46 |
| 4 | Rubin Yalta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 34 |
| 5 | Pobeda | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Kyzyltash | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 31 |
| 7 | Nart Cherkessk | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Spartak Nalchik | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
| 9 | Druzhba | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
| 10 | Lugansk | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Astrakhan | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 20 |
| 12 | Izberbash | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 19 | 57 | -38 | 18 |
| 13 | Angust Nazran | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 | FK Chayka 2 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 14 |
| 15 | Dynamo Makhachkala II | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 14 |
| 16 | PSK Dinskaya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 62 | 17 | 45 | 62 |
| 2 | KDV | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Akron II | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 33 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov II | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
| 6 | Dinamo Barnaul | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 27 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orenburg II | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
| 2 | Ural II | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 25 |
| 3 | Izhevsk | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 23 |
| 4 | Rubin Kazan 2 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
| 5 | Nosta | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 21 |
| 6 | Chelyabinsk II | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 20 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.