1. Division · Regular Season - 5
AnorthosisvsPafos
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1. Division
- Venue
- Antonis Papadopoulos
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Anorthosis vs Pafos: match review and analysis
Anorthosis vs Pafos in 1. Division on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Anorthosis recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 17. Pafos recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 15 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Anorthosis | Pafos |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Anorthosis: (1.38 weighted goals scored + 0.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.06 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pafos: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 1.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Anorthosis recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EnosisFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nea Salamis1. Division | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Apoel Nicosia1. Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Apollon Limassol1. Division | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AEL1. Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Apoel NicosiaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Nea SalamisFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Olympiakos1. Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Krasava Ypsonas1. Division | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Enosis1. Division | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Anorthosis’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pafos recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEL1. Division | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AEK Larnaca1. Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Olympiakos1. Division | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Omonia NicosiaSuper Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Karmiotissa1. Division | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Dinamo TiranaUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Dinamo TiranaUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa League | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Pafos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1. Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Pafos are ranked 4 in 1-division, with 7 points from 4 games.
Anorthosis are ranked 12 in 1-division, with 3 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | AEL | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 |
| 4 | Pafos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Omonia Aradippou | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Aris | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | Apoel Nicosia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Olympiakos | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Nea Salamis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Anorthosis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Karmiotissa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 14 | Krasava Ypsonas | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.