Non League Premier - Southern Central · Regular Season - 10
Anstey NomadsvsReal Bedford
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern Central
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Anstey Nomads vs Real Bedford: match review and analysis
Anstey Nomads vs Real Bedford in Non League Premier - Southern Central on 3 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Anstey Nomads recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 13. Real Bedford recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, with 29 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Anstey Nomads | Real Bedford |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 29 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Anstey Nomads: (2.26 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Real Bedford: (2.73 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.08 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Anstey Nomads recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kettering TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Ilkeston TownFA Trophy | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| AlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Newcastle TownFA Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Racing Club WarwickNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Sileby RangersFA Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Banbury UnitedNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Peterborough SportsNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Leighton TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Bromsgrove SportingNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Anstey Nomads’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Bedford recent form
2.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Wingate & FinchleyFA Trophy | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Harleston TownFA Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Redditch UnitedNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Royston TownFA Cup | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Leighton TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Halesowen TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Stratford TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Banbury UnitedNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Real Bedford’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern Central — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Real Bedford are ranked 1 in Regular Season, with 27 points from 9 games.
Anstey Nomads are ranked 8 in Regular Season, with 15 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 10 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 20 |
| 5 | Kettering Town | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Rushall Olympic | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Halesowen Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Leiston | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Redditch United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Racing Club Warwick | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Bishop's Stortford | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Leamington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 19 | Banbury United | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 20 | Stratford Town | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 6 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 25 | -24 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.