Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 · Group 8 - 3
Apollon Kalyt.vsApollon Smirnis
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Apollon Kalyt. vs Apollon Smirnis: match review and analysis
Apollon Kalyt. vs Apollon Smirnis in Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Apollon Kalyt. recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 15. Apollon Smirnis recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Apollon Kalyt. | Apollon Smirnis |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Apollon Kalyt.: (0.78 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Apollon Smirnis: (1.69 weighted goals scored + 1.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Apollon Kalyt. recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VyronaGamma Ethniki - Group 8 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EgaleoGamma Ethniki - Group 8 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Nea IoniaGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| AmarynthiakosGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| VyronaGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| KentavrosGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Asteras KaisarianisGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| KentavrosGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Aris PetroupolisGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AmarynthiakosGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Apollon Kalyt.’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Apollon Smirnis recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProodeftikiGamma Ethniki - Group 8 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| DiagorasGamma Ethniki - Group 8 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Atromitos PiraeusGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Ethnikos PiraeusGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| EllopiakosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ermis ZonianaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| IpatoGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| ChaidariGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PanioniosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AtsaleniosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Apollon Smirnis’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Apollon Smirnis are ranked 2 in Group 8, with 6 points from 2 games.
Apollon Kalyt. are ranked 12 in Group 8, with 0 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egaleo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Apollon Smirnis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Vyrona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Amfiali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Ethnikos Piraeus | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Afantou | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Ionikos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 8 | PAO Rouf | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Diagoras | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Ialysos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Proodeftiki | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Apollon Kalyt. | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.