Copa Venezuela · Round 1 - Group C
Aragua FCvsCaracas FC
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa Venezuela
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Aragua FC vs Caracas FC: match review and analysis
Aragua FC vs Caracas FC in Copa Venezuela on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Aragua FC recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 10. Caracas FC recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 16 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Aragua FC | Caracas FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Aragua FC: (2.26 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Caracas FC: (1.61 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.20 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Aragua FC recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineros de GuyanaSegunda División | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Fundación Lara DeportivaCopa Venezuela | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Atletico Avila FCSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BolívarSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Petare FCSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Yaracuyanos FCCopa Venezuela | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| Monagas IISegunda División | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Dinamo de Puerto La CruzSegunda División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Yaracuyanos FCCopa Venezuela | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Mineros de GuyanaSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Aragua FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Caracas FC recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zamora FCPrimera División | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Yaracuyanos FCCopa Venezuela | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Anzoátegui FCPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Metropolitanos FCPrimera División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Monagas SCPrimera División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Fundación Lara DeportivaCopa Venezuela | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Trujillanos FCPrimera División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Portuguesa FCPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportivo Tachira FCPrimera División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Fundación Lara DeportivaCopa Venezuela | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Caracas FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa Venezuela — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anzoátegui FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Atletico Avila FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Petare FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Marítimo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zamora FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 10 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Barinas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Atletico el Vigia FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 |
| 4 | Real Frontera | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
Caracas FC are ranked 1 in Round 1 - Group C, with 13 points from 5 games.
Aragua FC are ranked 2 in Round 1 - Group C, with 7 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caracas FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Aragua FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Yaracuyanos FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Fundación Lara Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Zuliano | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | Urena SC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 3 | Trujillanos FC | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Deportivo Lara | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas SC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Mineros de Guyana | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 10 |
| 3 | Bolívar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 4 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.