Pro League A · Regular Season - 21
AralvsQiziriq
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Pro League A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Aral vs Qiziriq: match review and analysis
Aral vs Qiziriq in Pro League A on 8 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Aral recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 6. Qiziriq recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 losses, with 4 scored and 28 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Aral | Qiziriq |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 10 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 4 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 28 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Aral: (1.91 weighted goals scored + 2.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Qiziriq: (0.39 weighted goals scored + 0.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Aral recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YaypanPro League A | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| LochinPro League A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FarDuPro League A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KattaqurgonPro League A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Olimpik-MobiuzPro League A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BuxDuPro League A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Respublika FAPro League A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MetalourgPro League A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| GazalkentPro League A | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| ShortanPro League A | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Aral’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Qiziriq recent form
0.40 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GazalkentPro League A | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| ShortanPro League A | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| JayxunPro League A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Pakhtakor IIPro League A | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| MetalourgPro League A | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| YaypanPro League A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LochinPro League A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FarDuPro League A | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| KattaqurgonPro League A | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Olimpik-MobiuzPro League A | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Qiziriq’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Pro League A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Aral are ranked 1 in Pro League A, with 52 points from 21 games.
Qiziriq are ranked 14 in Pro League A, with 4 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aral | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 13 | 32 | 52 |
| 2 | Shortan | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
| 3 | Metalourg | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 16 | 33 | 43 |
| 4 | FarDu | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 40 |
| 5 | Lochin | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 35 |
| 6 | Kattaqurgon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Olimpik-Mobiuz | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 32 |
| 8 | Gazalkent | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 32 |
| 9 | Respublika FA | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 | Jayxun | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Yaypan | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 22 |
| 12 | Pakhtakor II | 20 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 46 | -33 | 10 |
| 13 | BuxDu | 21 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 18 | 54 | -36 | 10 |
| 14 | Qiziriq | 21 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 51 | -39 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.