Primera B Metropolitana · Regular Season - 39
Argentino de MerlovsSportivo Italiano
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera B Metropolitana
- Venue
- Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano: match review and analysis
Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano in Primera B Metropolitana on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Argentino de Merlo recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Sportivo Italiano recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Argentino de Merlo | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Argentino de Merlo: (0.50 weighted goals scored + 0.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sportivo Italiano: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 1.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Argentino de Merlo recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martín BurzacoPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Villa San CarlosPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LiniersPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Real PilarPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UAI UrquizaPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Villa DalminePrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ExcursionistasPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Arsenal SarandiPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ItuzaingóPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Talleres RemediosPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Argentino de Merlo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sportivo Italiano recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talleres RemediosPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo LaferrerePrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Brown DE AdroguePrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportivo ArmenioPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FlandriaPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Argentino QuilmesPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Defensores UnidosPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ComunicacionesPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dock SudPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo MerloPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sportivo Italiano’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera B Metropolitana — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sportivo Italiano are ranked 4 in Prim B Metro, with 65 points from 38 games.
Argentino de Merlo are ranked 14 in Prim B Metro, with 44 points from 38 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 30 | 29 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 67 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 64 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 63 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 61 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 60 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 55 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 51 |
| 11 | San Martín Burzaco | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 44 |
| 15 | Deportivo Merlo | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 43 |
| 17 | Liniers | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 43 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 41 |
| 19 | Brown DE Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 39 |
| 20 | Flandria | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 38 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 25 | 62 | -37 | 15 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.