First League · Regular Season - 10
Arsenal TivatvsDečić
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
Match Postponed
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawPostponed
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First League
- Venue
- Stadion u Parku
- Status
- Match Postponed
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Arsenal Tivat vs Dečić: match review and analysis
Arsenal Tivat vs Dečić in First League on 8 October 2026. Match status: Match Postponed.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Arsenal Tivat recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 17. Dečić recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Arsenal Tivat | Dečić |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Arsenal Tivat: (0.53 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dečić: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 1.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Arsenal Tivat recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SutjeskaFirst League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PetrovacFirst League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Mladost DGFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| JezeroFirst League | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Otrant-OlympicFirst League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BokeljFirst League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Buducnost PodgoricaFirst League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MornarFirst League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DečićFirst League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ZrinjskiFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–6 | Lost |
Scores shown from Arsenal Tivat’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Dečić recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MornarFirst League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SutjeskaFirst League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PetrovacFirst League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mladost DGFirst League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| JezeroFirst League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Otrant-OlympicFirst League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| BokeljFirst League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Buducnost PodgoricaFirst League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Arsenal TivatFirst League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FK LiepajaUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Dečić’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Dečić are ranked 2 in Prva Liga, with 15 points from 9 games.
Arsenal Tivat are ranked 10 in Prva Liga, with 7 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Otrant-Olympic | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Dečić | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Bokelj | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Buducnost Podgorica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Sutjeska | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Mornar | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Mladost DG | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 8 | Jezero | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 |
| 9 | Petrovac | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tivat | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.