Carioca - 2 · Regular Season - 5
Artsul3–4Serrano RJ
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Carioca - 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–4
- 90-minute score
- 3–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Artsul vs Serrano RJ: match review and analysis
Artsul vs Serrano RJ in Carioca - 2 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–4. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Artsul recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Serrano RJ recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses, with 5 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Artsul | Serrano RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Artsul: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.55 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Serrano RJ: (0.53 weighted goals scored + 0.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Artsul recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MacaéCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CarapebusCarioca - 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Campo GrandeCarioca - 2 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Audax RioCarioca - 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| São Cristóvão RJCarioca - 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PetrópolisCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Serrano RJCarioca - 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CarapebusCarioca - 2 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Nova CidadeCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NiteroienseCarioca - 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Artsul’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Serrano RJ recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campo GrandeCarioca - 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Audax RioCarioca - 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| GoytacazCarioca - 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NiteroienseCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| América RJCarioca A2 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| São Gonçalo EC RJCarioca A2 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| São Gonçalo EC RJCopa Rio | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ResendeCarioca A2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| São Gonçalo EC RJCopa Rio | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CFRJ / MaricáCarioca A2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Serrano RJ’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Carioca - 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Artsul are ranked 5 in Carioca 2, with 8 points from 5 games.
Serrano RJ are ranked 7 in Carioca 2, with 8 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Goytacaz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Duque de Caxias | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Petrópolis | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Artsul | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Campo Grande | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Serrano RJ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Macaé | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | São Cristóvão RJ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2 |
| 11 | Carapebus | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 12 | Audax Rio | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.