CONCACAF Nations League · League C - 2
Aruba3–2Anguilla
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- CONCACAF Nations League
- Venue
- Sir Vivian Richards Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–2
- 90-minute score
- 3–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Aruba vs Anguilla: match review and analysis
Aruba vs Anguilla in CONCACAF Nations League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Aruba recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Anguilla recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses, with 7 scored and 25 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Aruba | Anguilla |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 25 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Aruba: (1.85 weighted goals scored + 2.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Anguilla: (0.62 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Aruba recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AnguillaCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Antigua and BarbudaCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CuraçaoFriendlies | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| LiechtensteinFIFA Series | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| MacauFIFA Series | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| BarbadosCONCACAF Series | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Antigua and BarbudaCONCACAF Series | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| HaitiWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| BarbadosWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CambodiaFriendlies | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Aruba’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Anguilla recent form
0.70 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antigua and BarbudaCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| ArubaCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Antigua and BarbudaCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| DominicaFriendlies | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| British Virgin IslandsCONCACAF Series | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| BahamasCONCACAF Series | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Cayman IslandsCONCACAF Series | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| BahamasCONCACAF Series | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Saint MartinFriendlies | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| El SalvadorWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Anguilla’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
CONCACAF Nations League — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.