1. Division · Regular Season - 25
AsanevsSogndal
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1. Division
- Venue
- Asane Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Asane vs Sogndal: match review and analysis
Asane vs Sogndal in 1. Division on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Asane recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Sogndal recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 19 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Asane | Sogndal |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Asane: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 1.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sogndal: (1.78 weighted goals scored + 2.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Asane recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stromsgodset1. Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Bryne1. Division | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| SandvikenNM Cupen | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ranheim1. Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| hodd1. Division | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Egersund1. Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Lyn1. Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Arna-BjørnarNM Cupen | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Raufoss1. Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kongsvinger1. Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Asane’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sogndal recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stabaek1. Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SotraNM Cupen | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Strommen1. Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Haugesund1. Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Stromsgodset1. Division | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Moss1. Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FjøraNM Cupen | Away | 8–0 | Won | |
| Sandnes ULF1. Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Bryne1. Division | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Lyn1. Division | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sogndal’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1. Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sogndal are ranked 14 in 1. Division, with 23 points from 23 games.
Asane are ranked 15 in 1. Division, with 20 points from 24 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 55 |
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 70 | 35 | 35 | 53 |
| 3 | Stromsgodset | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 51 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 45 |
| 5 | ODD Ballklubb | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Bryne | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | hodd | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 34 |
| 8 | Ranheim | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 61 | 58 | 3 | 31 |
| 9 | Egersund | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 29 |
| 10 | Lyn | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 28 |
| 11 | Strommen | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 26 |
| 12 | Sandnes ULF | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Moss | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 25 |
| 14 | Sogndal | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Asane | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 61 | -35 | 19 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.