League Cup · Group Stage - 1
Asyut Petrol0–5Al Ahly
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League Cup
- Venue
- Asyut University Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–5
- 90-minute score
- 0–5
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Asyut Petrol vs Al Ahly: match review and analysis
Asyut Petrol vs Al Ahly in League Cup on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–5. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Asyut Petrol recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Al Ahly recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 18 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Asyut Petrol | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Asyut Petrol: (0.42 weighted goals scored + 0.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al Ahly: (1.71 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Asyut Petrol recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Future FCPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Al IttihadPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| National Bank of EgyptPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Smouha SCPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PetrojetPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Baladiyyat Al MehallaSecond League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| El MansuraSecond League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Raya GhazlSecond League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TersanaSecond League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| La Viena FCSecond League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Asyut Petrol’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Al Ahly recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abu Qair SemadPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| El MokawloonPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Smouha SCPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MasrPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| EnppiPremier League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| BarcelonaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AL MasryPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| EnppiPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Zamalek SCPremier League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Pyramids FCPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Al Ahly’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.