Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 7
Athletic Club IIvsReal Unión
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División RFEF - Group 1
- Venue
- Lezama Facilities
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Athletic Club II vs Real Unión: match review and analysis
Athletic Club II vs Real Unión in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Athletic Club II recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 8. Real Unión recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 19 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Athletic Club II | Real Unión |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Athletic Club II: (1.90 weighted goals scored + 1.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Real Unión: (1.79 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Athletic Club II recent form
1.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extremadura 1924Primera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo La Coruña IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Real AvilésPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LaredoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| AmorebietaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cultural LeonesaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sestao RiverFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Athletic Club II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Unión recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD OurensePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportivo La Coruña IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MirandesPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Unionistas de SalamancaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| CD CoriaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| EibarFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PAUFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AlfaroSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Real Zaragoza IISegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Real Unión’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Athletic Club II are ranked 3 in Segunda B: Group 1, with 11 points from 6 games.
Real Unión are ranked 9 in Segunda B: Group 1, with 8 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logroñés | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Lugo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Athletic Club II | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Cacereño | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Mirandes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Zamora | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Racing Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Unión | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Deportivo La Coruña II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Cultural Leonesa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Extremadura 1924 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Mérida AD | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Barakaldo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Real Avilés | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 18 | CD Coria | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 2 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.