First Division · Regular Season - 35
Athlone TownvsTreaty United
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First Division
- Venue
- Athlone Town Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Athlone Town vs Treaty United: match review and analysis
Athlone Town vs Treaty United in First Division on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Athlone Town recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 13. Treaty United recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 9 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Athlone Town | Treaty United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Athlone Town: (2.12 weighted goals scored + 1.76 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Treaty United: (0.90 weighted goals scored + 1.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Athlone Town recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cork CityFirst Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Cobh RamblersFirst Division | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| KerryFirst Division | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| UCDFirst Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Finn HarpsFirst Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bray WanderersFirst Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| WexfordFirst Division | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| WaterfordFAI Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Longford TownFirst Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Cork CityFirst Division | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Athlone Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Treaty United recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCDFirst Division | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Finn HarpsFirst Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bray WanderersFirst Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Longford TownFirst Division | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| WexfordFirst Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KerryFirst Division | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Cork CityFirst Division | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Cobh RamblersFirst Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| UCDFirst Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Longford TownFirst Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Treaty United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Athlone Town are ranked 7 in First Division, with 48 points from 34 games.
Treaty United are ranked 9 in First Division, with 36 points from 34 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 34 | 37 | 71 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 | UCD | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 52 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Kerry | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 48 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Wexford | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 41 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 36 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 25 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.