IFA Shield · Final
ATK Mohun Bagan1–0East Bengal II
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- IFA Shield
- Venue
- Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II: match review and analysis
ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II in IFA Shield on 8 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
ATK Mohun Bagan recorded 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 7. East Bengal II recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 21 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | ATK Mohun Bagan | East Bengal II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
ATK Mohun Bagan: (1.67 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
East Bengal II: (2.30 weighted goals scored + 0.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
ATK Mohun Bagan recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minerva PunjabIFA Shield | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NorthEast UnitedIFA Shield | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sreenidi DeccanIFA Shield | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| SC DelhiIndian Super League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| East Bengal IIIndian Super League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Inter KashiIndian Super League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GoaIndian Super League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NorthEast UnitedIndian Super League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Minerva PunjabIndian Super League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| JamshedpurIndian Super League | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from ATK Mohun Bagan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
East Bengal II recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NorthEast UnitedIFA Shield | Home | 7–2 | Won | |
| Minerva PunjabIFA Shield | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Calcutta CustomsIFA Shield | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Al HusseinAFC Champions League Two | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Al ArabiAFC Champions League Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Inter KashiIndian Super League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ATK Mohun BaganIndian Super League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Minerva PunjabIndian Super League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mumbai CityIndian Super League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| OdishaIndian Super League | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from East Bengal II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
IFA Shield — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.