Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 5
Atlètic Lleida1–1Pobla Mafumet
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Atlètic Lleida vs Pobla Mafumet: match review and analysis
Atlètic Lleida vs Pobla Mafumet in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Atlètic Lleida recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 17. Pobla Mafumet recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses, with 9 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Atlètic Lleida | Pobla Mafumet |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Atlètic Lleida: (0.92 weighted goals scored + 1.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pobla Mafumet: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 1.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Atlètic Lleida recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PeraladaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| MollerussaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| L'HospitaletTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CornellàTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ManresaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ReddisFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BarbastroFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AndratxSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Barcelona BSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ibiza Islas PitiusasSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Atlètic Lleida’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pobla Mafumet recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VilanovaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| TonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| San CristóbalTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Vilassar MarTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| L'HospitaletTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CastelldefelsTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Badalona IITercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| San CristóbalTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GramaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Vilassar MarTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Pobla Mafumet’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Pobla Mafumet are ranked 6 in Tercera: Group 5, with 7 points from 5 games.
Atlètic Lleida are ranked 14 in Tercera: Group 5, with 5 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Badalona | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Montañesa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Europa II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Vilanova | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Grama | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Pobla Mafumet | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | L'Hospitalet | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Cornellà | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | L'Escala | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Peralada | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Martinenc | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Cerdanyola del Vallès | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlètic Lleida | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Mollerussa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | San Cristóbal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Tona | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Vilassar Mar | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.